Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.5%+2.0
- Grüne15.5%±0
- FDP11.5%-2.5
- AfD10.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 Nov 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.5%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 Nov 2021, FDP loses 2.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.5average 13.0
- SPD +1.1average 25.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 21.8
- Grüne -0.4average 15.9
- AfD -0.4average 10.4
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD186
- CDU/CSU155
- Grüne107
- FDP79
- AfD69
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD331 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.