Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Oct 2021 to 5 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%+2.5
- CDU/CSU20.5%-2.0
- Grüne15.5%+1.5
- FDP14.0%+2.0
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- Linke4.0%-3.0
- Others7.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 31 Oct 2021 to 5 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2021, Linke loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 26.2
- Linke -1.3average 5.3
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 21.1
- FDP +0.5average 13.5
- Grüne -0.1average 15.6
- AfD -0.1average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD199
- CDU/CSU146
- Grüne110
- FDP100
- AfD75
- SPD + CDU/CSU345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP409 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.