Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,400
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU22.5%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 25.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.5%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 15.6
- FDP +0.7average 11.3
- Linke +0.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 22.4
- AfD +0.1average 10.9
- SPD ±0average 25.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD175
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne96
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke48
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.