Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 21 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,801
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%-2.0
- CDU/CSU21.5%+1.5
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP12.5%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.5%±0
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.5%. 1,801 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 Sep 2021, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.3average 11.2
- Grüne -1.0average 16.0
- SPD -0.6average 25.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 21.8
- AfD -0.1average 11.1
- Linke +0.1average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD172
- CDU/CSU148
- Grüne103
- FDP86
- AfD76
- Linke45
- SPD + CDU/CSU320 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD327 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.