Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,400
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP12.5%+0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Sep 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 1.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 25.4
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 21.5
- Grüne -1.3average 16.3
- FDP +0.9average 11.6
- AfD -0.2average 11.2
- Linke +0.1average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne103
- FDP86
- AfD75
- Linke44
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.