Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 8 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,208
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU19.0%-0.5
- Grüne14.0%-1.5
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+0.5
- Linke6.0%-0.5
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 Aug 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 1,208 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 Aug 2021, Grüne loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.9 points higher and Grüne 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.9average 25.1
- Grüne -2.9average 16.9
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 21.4
- Linke -0.6average 6.6
- FDP +0.1average 11.9
- AfD -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD196
- CDU/CSU133
- Grüne98
- FDP84
- AfD77
- Linke42
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP378 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD371 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD357 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.