Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 30 to 31 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,340
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%+5.0
- CDU/CSU19.5%-2.5
- Grüne15.5%-2.0
- FDP13.0%+2.0
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Aug 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.5%. 2,340 people were surveyed from 30 to 31 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Aug 2021, SPD gains 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 5.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +5.4average 21.6
- CDU/CSU -4.0average 23.5
- Grüne -2.3average 17.8
- FDP +1.1average 11.9
- AfD -0.5average 11.0
- Linke -0.3average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU134
- Grüne106
- FDP89
- AfD72
- Linke44
- SPD + CDU/CSU319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.