Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU22.0%
- SPD22.0%
- Grüne17.5%
- FDP11.0%
- AfD11.0%
- Linke7.0%
- Others9.5%
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 4.2 points lower and SPD 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.2average 26.2
- SPD +4.0average 18.0
- Grüne -1.4average 18.9
- FDP -0.8average 11.8
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU153
- SPD153
- Grüne122
- FDP77
- AfD76
- Linke49
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne428 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.