Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 2,230
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+5.5
- SPD21.0%-6.5
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP8.5%-2.0
- Linke5.5%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Jan 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,230 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Jan 2022, SPD loses 6.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 5.5 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 3.6 points higher and SPD 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.6average 24.4
- SPD -3.3average 24.3
- Grüne +3.1average 15.9
- FDP -2.1average 10.6
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- Linke -0.5average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD144
- Grüne130
- AfD68
- FDP58
- Linke38
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.