Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%+4.0
- CDU/CSU24.5%-3.5
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- FDP9.5%+1.0
- AfD9.5%-0.5
- Linke6.0%+0.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Feb 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Feb 2022, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 1.8 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 11.3
- Grüne +1.5average 15.5
- SPD +1.0average 24.0
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 25.5
- FDP -0.5average 10.0
- Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD172
- CDU/CSU169
- Grüne117
- FDP66
- AfD65
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU341 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.