Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 2,030
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU23.5%-1.0
- Grüne17.5%+0.5
- FDP11.5%+2.0
- AfD10.5%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Feb 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.5%. 2,030 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Feb 2022, FDP gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 2.6 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.6average 6.6
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 25.8
- FDP +2.1average 9.4
- SPD +1.9average 24.1
- Grüne +1.6average 15.9
- AfD -0.5average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD184
- CDU/CSU167
- Grüne124
- FDP81
- AfD74
- SPD + CDU/CSU351 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP389 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.