Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,923
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU25.5%+2.0
- Grüne18.5%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.5
- AfD8.5%-2.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 Feb 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.5%. 1,923 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 Feb 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 2.6 points lower and Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.6average 5.6
- Grüne +1.9average 16.6
- AfD -1.8average 10.3
- SPD +1.7average 24.8
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.0
- FDP +0.4average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD188
- CDU/CSU180
- Grüne131
- FDP71
- AfD60
- SPD + CDU/CSU368 of 630
- SPD + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD371 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.