Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 5 April 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 4 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 2,450
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU25.5%±0
- Grüne19.0%+0.5
- AfD9.0%+0.5
- FDP8.5%-1.5
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.5%. 2,450 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Mar 2022, FDP loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.1average 5.1
- SPD +1.9average 25.1
- Grüne +1.9average 17.1
- AfD -1.1average 10.1
- FDP -1.1average 9.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD191
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne134
- AfD64
- FDP60
- SPD + CDU/CSU372 of 630
- SPD + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.