Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
23 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,007
Method
Online
  • SPD24.5%-2.5
  • CDU/CSU22.5%-3.0
  • Grüne22.0%+3.0
  • FDP11.0%+2.5
  • AfD8.5%-0.5
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others8.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 5 Apr 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 24.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.5%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 23 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 5 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.0average 18.0
  • CDU/CSU -2.4average 24.9
  • FDP +2.0average 9.0
  • AfD -2.0average 10.5
  • Linke -1.9average 4.9
  • SPD -0.4average 24.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 174 seatsCDU/CSU: 160 seatsGrüne: 157 seatsFDP: 78 seatsAfD: 61 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD174
  • CDU/CSU160
  • Grüne157
  • FDP78
  • AfD61
  • SPD + CDU/CSU334 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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