Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 9 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,610
- Method
- Online
- SPD24.0%-0.5
- CDU/CSU23.5%+1.0
- Grüne22.5%+0.5
- FDP10.5%-0.5
- AfD9.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others7.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.5%. 1,610 people were surveyed from 8 to 9 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 18.5
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 25.4
- Linke -1.6average 4.6
- AfD -1.4average 10.4
- FDP +1.2average 9.3
- SPD -0.2average 24.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU166
- Grüne158
- FDP74
- AfD63
- SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.