Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 16 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,302
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+5.5
- SPD23.5%-0.5
- Grüne23.0%+0.5
- AfD7.5%-1.5
- FDP5.5%-5.0
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others9.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 23.5%. 1,302 people were surveyed from 15 to 16 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 May 2022, CDU/CSU gains 5.5 points, FDP loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 3.7 points higher and FDP 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.7average 19.3
- FDP -3.5average 9.0
- CDU/CSU +3.3average 25.7
- AfD -2.7average 10.2
- Linke -1.9average 4.4
- SPD -0.1average 23.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU207
- SPD167
- Grüne164
- AfD53
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne371 of 630
- SPD + Grüne331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.