Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 June 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 30 May 2022 to 1 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,500
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne25.5%+2.5
- SPD18.0%-5.5
- AfD9.0%+1.5
- FDP8.0%+2.5
- Linke4.0%+1.5
- Others8.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.5%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 30 May 2022 to 1 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 May 2022, SPD loses 5.5 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points, FDP gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 5.3 points higher and SPD 4.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +5.3average 20.2
- SPD -4.4average 22.4
- AfD -0.9average 9.9
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- FDP -0.3average 8.3
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne183
- SPD130
- AfD65
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.