Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 June 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 8 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,603
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-3.0
- SPD22.0%+4.0
- Grüne20.0%-5.5
- AfD13.0%+4.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%+2.0
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,603 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Jun 2022, Grüne loses 5.5 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 3.6 points lower and AfD 3.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.6average 27.6
- AfD +3.3average 9.7
- Linke +1.7average 4.3
- FDP -1.4average 8.4
- Grüne -0.9average 20.9
- SPD +0.6average 21.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU164
- SPD151
- Grüne137
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne452 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD390 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.