Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 June 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 26 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 2,430
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD22.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-2.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,430 people were surveyed from 21 to 26 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Jun 2022, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 27.2
- AfD +1.7average 10.3
- SPD +1.2average 20.8
- Grüne -1.0average 22.0
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD159
- Grüne152
- AfD87
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.