Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 6 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,700
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD22.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,700 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 Jun 2022, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 27.3
- SPD +1.3average 20.7
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
- Grüne -0.1average 22.1
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD160
- Grüne159
- AfD72
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- SPD + Grüne319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.