Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 20 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,400
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%+2.0
- SPD22.0%±0
- AfD10.5%+0.5
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Linke3.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Jul 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Jul 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 26.8
- SPD +1.7average 20.3
- Grüne +1.6average 22.4
- Linke -1.1average 4.6
- FDP +0.9average 7.6
- AfD +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne170
- SPD156
- AfD74
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.