Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 2,920
- Method
- Online
- Grüne25.5%+1.5
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-6.0
- AfD14.5%+4.0
- FDP8.0%-0.5
- Linke3.5%±0
- Others8.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Jul 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 25.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,920 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Jul 2022, SPD loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.4 points lower and AfD 3.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.4average 19.4
- AfD +3.3average 11.2
- Grüne +2.9average 22.6
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 26.8
- Linke -1.4average 4.9
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne182
- CDU/CSU172
- SPD115
- AfD104
- FDP57
- Grüne + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP344 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.