Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,433
- Method
- Online
- Grüne26.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%-0.5
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Aug 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,433 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Aug 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 3.1 points higher and AfD 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.1average 22.9
- AfD +2.6average 11.4
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 27.1
- Linke -1.8average 4.8
- SPD -1.3average 19.3
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne184
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD128
- AfD99
- FDP42
- Grüne + CDU/CSU361 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP347 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.