Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,300
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- SPD20.0%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-7.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.5%+2.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 Aug 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,300 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 19 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 7.0 points, Linke gains 2.5 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 2.7 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 21.7
- AfD +1.7average 12.3
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 26.9
- SPD +1.2average 18.8
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- Linke +0.3average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD138
- Grüne132
- AfD97
- FDP48
- Linke38
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne447 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD412 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD406 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.