Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,700
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+0.5
- SPD22.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.5%-0.5
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.5
- Others8.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,700 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Sep 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.4 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.4average 18.6
- Grüne -2.5average 20.5
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
- Linke -1.3average 5.3
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- AfD +0.5average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD158
- Grüne130
- AfD97
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD385 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.