Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,923
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD16.0%+2.5
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,923 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Sep 2022, AfD gains 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.3average 20.3
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 27.8
- SPD +2.7average 18.3
- AfD +2.6average 13.4
- FDP +1.9average 7.1
- Linke -0.8average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD152
- Grüne116
- AfD116
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD413 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.