Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,910
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.5%+1.5
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke3.5%-1.0
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,910 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Oct 2022, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.3 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.3average 18.7
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 27.6
- Grüne -2.6average 20.1
- AfD +1.6average 14.4
- FDP +1.5average 6.5
- Linke -1.4average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD157
- Grüne124
- AfD114
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD416 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.