Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 8 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,300
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- SPD24.5%+2.5
- Grüne16.0%-1.5
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Linke3.5%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 1,300 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Oct 2022, SPD gains 2.5 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 5.5 points higher and Grüne 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +5.5average 19.0
- Grüne -3.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 27.8
- FDP +1.8average 6.7
- Linke -1.4average 4.9
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- SPD174
- Grüne114
- AfD100
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD396 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.