Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,500
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- SPD22.5%-2.0
- Grüne16.5%+0.5
- AfD14.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%-1.5
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others10.5%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Nov 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 22.5%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Nov 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 3.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.6average 18.9
- CDU/CSU -3.4average 28.4
- Grüne -3.2average 19.7
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- AfD +0.6average 13.9
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- SPD166
- Grüne121
- AfD107
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD412 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.