Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,399
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-3.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD21.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.5%+1.5
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 Jun 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,399 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU 4.0 points lower and SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.0average 28.0
- SPD +2.3average 18.7
- AfD +2.0average 19.0
- FDP -0.8average 6.8
- Grüne -0.3average 14.8
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU175
- SPD153
- AfD153
- Grüne105
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne411 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.