Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 2 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD19.0%+4.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-2.5
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Apr 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 1 to 2 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Apr 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 2.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.6average 18.4
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 29.4
- AfD +2.2average 16.8
- Grüne -2.0average 15.0
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD150
- AfD136
- Grüne93
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD330 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.