Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 27 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.5
- SPD20.5%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Jul 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 22 to 27 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Jul 2023, AfD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 18.0
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
- AfD +1.4average 20.6
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- FDP +0.5average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- AfD157
- SPD147
- Grüne93
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne397 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.