Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 June 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
3 to 10 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • Grüne30.5%+3.0
  • CDU20.5%±0
  • SPD14.0%-4.0
  • FDP13.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 May 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 30.5%, followed by CDU on 20.5%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 May 2022, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.0average 26.5
  • CDU -4.0average 24.5
  • SPD -3.0average 17.0
  • FDP +2.0average 11.0
  • AfD +1.5average 9.5
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 41 seatsCDU: 28 seatsSPD: 19 seatsFDP: 17 seatsAfD: 15 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne41
  • CDU28
  • SPD19
  • FDP17
  • AfD15
  • Grüne + CDU69 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP77 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD75 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD73 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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