Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 May 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 6 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Online
- Grüne27.5%+0.5
- CDU20.5%-4.5
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- FDP14.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU on 20.5%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Mar 2022, CDU loses 4.5 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points lower and FDP 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 24.5
- FDP +3.0average 11.0
- Grüne +1.0average 26.5
- SPD +1.0average 17.0
- AfD +0.5average 9.5
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne37
- CDU27
- SPD24
- FDP19
- AfD13
- Grüne + CDU64 of 120
- Grüne + SPD61 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP70 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + AfD69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.