Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 March 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 16 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,600
- Method
- Online
- Grüne27.0%+1.0
- CDU25.0%+6.0
- SPD16.0%-4.0
- FDP14.0%-5.0
- AfD9.0%+0.5
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Dec 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,600 people were surveyed from 8 to 16 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Dec 2021, CDU gains 6.0 points, FDP loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 18.0
- CDU +1.0average 24.0
- FDP +1.0average 13.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- Grüne ±0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne36
- CDU33
- SPD21
- FDP18
- AfD12
- Grüne + CDU69 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP75 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP72 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD69 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + AfD66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD66 of 120
- CDU + FDP + AfD63 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.