Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 December 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 30 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- Grüne26.0%-7.0
- SPD20.0%+7.5
- FDP19.0%+8.5
- CDU19.0%-4.0
- AfD8.5%-4.5
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 Mar 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 23 to 30 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 Mar 2021, FDP gains 8.5 points, SPD gains 7.5 points, Grüne loses 7.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +3.5average 15.5
- Grüne +0.5average 25.5
- SPD -0.5average 20.5
- CDU +0.5average 18.5
- AfD -0.5average 9.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne34
- SPD26
- FDP25
- CDU24
- AfD11
- Grüne + SPD + FDP85 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + CDU84 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + CDU83 of 120
- SPD + FDP + CDU75 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + AfD70 of 120
- Grüne + CDU + AfD69 of 120
- SPD + FDP + AfD62 of 120
- SPD + CDU + AfD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.