Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2021 to 4 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,054
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne33.0%
- CDU23.0%
- AfD13.0%
- SPD12.5%
- FDP10.5%
- Linke3.5%
- Others4.5%
33.0%
Grüne
23.0%
CDU
13.0%
AfD
12.5%
SPD
10.5%
FDP
3.5%
Linke
4.5%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,054 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2021 to 4 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points lower and SPD 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 27.0
- SPD +2.2average 10.3
- AfD +1.7average 11.3
- FDP +0.8average 9.7
- Grüne +0.3average 32.7
- Linke -0.2average 3.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne43
- CDU30
- AfD17
- SPD16
- FDP14
- Grüne + CDU73 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD76 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP74 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP73 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 120
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.