Infratest dimap poll of 10 October 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 8 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,166
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU34.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-4.0
- AfD16.0%+2.0
- SPD13.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,166 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2024, Grüne loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.0 points higher and BSW 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.0average 31.0
- BSW -3.0average 8.0
- SPD +2.0average 11.0
- FDP -2.0average 7.0
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- AfD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU44
- Grüne24
- AfD21
- SPD17
- FDP7
- BSW7
- CDU + Grüne68 of 120
- CDU + AfD65 of 120
- CDU + SPD61 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.