Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,148
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU32.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-4.0
- SPD11.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- BSW4.0%
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jan 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,148 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jan 2024, AfD loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BSW 3.0 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -3.0average 7.0
- CDU +2.0average 30.0
- AfD -2.0average 16.0
- Grüne -1.0average 23.0
- SPD ±0average 11.0
- FDP ±0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU45
- Grüne31
- AfD19
- SPD15
- FDP10
- CDU + Grüne76 of 120
- CDU + AfD64 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP70 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD65 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.