Infratest dimap poll of 18 January 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 16 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,152
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU32.0%+3.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- SPD9.0%-3.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Sep 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,152 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 Jan 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Sep 2023, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 4.0 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -4.0average 22.0
- CDU +2.0average 30.0
- Grüne +2.0average 20.0
- SPD -1.0average 10.0
- FDP ±0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU44
- Grüne30
- AfD24
- SPD12
- FDP10
- CDU + Grüne74 of 120
- CDU + AfD68 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD66 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.