Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 September 2023 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Sep 2023
Respondents
1,162
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%+3.0
  • Grüne22.0%-2.0
  • AfD20.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jul 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,162 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jul 2023, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.8 points lower and CDU 3.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -4.8average 26.8
  • CDU +3.5average 25.5
  • AfD +3.5average 16.5
  • SPD ±0average 12.0
  • FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 38 seatsGrüne: 29 seatsAfD: 26 seatsSPD: 16 seatsFDP: 11 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU38
  • Grüne29
  • AfD26
  • SPD16
  • FDP11
  • CDU + Grüne67 of 120
  • CDU + AfD64 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD71 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP66 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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