Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 July 2023 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Jul 2023
Respondents
1,195
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU26.0%-1.0
  • Grüne24.0%-2.0
  • AfD19.0%+7.0
  • SPD13.0%-2.0
  • FDP7.0%-3.0
  • Others11.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Mar 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,195 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Mar 2023, AfD gains 7.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 6.5 points higher and Grüne 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +6.5average 12.5
  • Grüne -4.0average 28.0
  • CDU -3.5average 29.5
  • SPD +1.5average 11.5
  • FDP -0.8average 7.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 35 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsAfD: 26 seatsSPD: 18 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU35
  • Grüne32
  • AfD26
  • SPD18
  • FDP9
  • CDU + Grüne67 of 120
  • CDU + AfD61 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD76 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP67 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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