Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 March 2023 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
16 to 21 Mar 2023
Respondents
1,178
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne26.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • Others10.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Oct 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,178 people were surveyed from 16 to 21 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Oct 2022, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.0 points lower and SPD 5.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -5.0average 32.0
  • SPD +5.0average 10.0
  • FDP +3.5average 6.5
  • Grüne -2.0average 28.0
  • AfD -1.0average 13.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 36 seatsGrüne: 35 seatsSPD: 20 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 13 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU36
  • Grüne35
  • SPD20
  • AfD16
  • FDP13
  • CDU + Grüne71 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD72 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP69 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP65 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP64 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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