Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 October 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
20 to 25 Oct 2022
Respondents
1,175
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne27.0%-1.0
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%+4.0
  • FDP9.0%-2.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Apr 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,175 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Apr 2022, AfD gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.0average 24.0
  • Grüne -1.3average 28.3
  • SPD +0.5average 14.5
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • AfD ±0average 13.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 36 seatsCDU: 35 seatsSPD: 20 seatsAfD: 17 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne36
  • CDU35
  • SPD20
  • AfD17
  • FDP12
  • Grüne + CDU71 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD72 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP67 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP65 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP64 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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