Infratest dimap poll of 12 December 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 10 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,156
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU33.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%+4.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Oct 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,156 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Oct 2024, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 20.0
- AfD -2.0average 17.0
- SPD +2.0average 11.0
- FDP -2.0average 6.0
- BSW -2.0average 6.0
- CDU -1.0average 34.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU47
- Grüne32
- AfD22
- SPD19
- CDU + Grüne79 of 120
- CDU + AfD69 of 120
- CDU + SPD66 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD73 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.