Infratest dimap poll of 15 May 2025 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,146
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU31.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- AfD19.0%+4.0
- SPD10.0%-3.0
- Linke7.0%
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.0%-5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Dec 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,146 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Dec 2024, AfD gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.5 points higher and SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.5average 28.5
- SPD -2.3average 12.3
- AfD -2.0average 21.0
- BSW +1.2average 2.8
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
- Grüne ±0average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- Grüne26
- AfD25
- SPD13
- Linke9
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + AfD65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD64 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.