Infratest dimap poll of 16 October 2025 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,158
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU29.0%-2.0
- AfD21.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 May 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,158 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 May 2025, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 3.0 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 17.0
- CDU -2.0average 31.0
- FDP -2.0average 7.0
- AfD +1.0average 20.0
- SPD -1.0average 11.0
- Linke ±0average 7.0
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU38
- AfD27
- Grüne26
- SPD13
- Linke9
- FDP7
- CDU + AfD65 of 120
- CDU + Grüne64 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.