Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 January 2026 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
14 to 20 Jan 2026
Respondents
1,168
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%+3.0
  • AfD20.0%-1.0
  • SPD8.0%-2.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Oct 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,168 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Oct 2025, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 6.0 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +6.0average 17.0
  • SPD -3.0average 11.0
  • CDU -2.0average 31.0
  • FDP -2.0average 7.0
  • AfD ±0average 20.0
  • Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 38 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsAfD: 26 seatsSPD: 10 seatsLinke: 9 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU38
  • Grüne30
  • AfD26
  • SPD10
  • Linke9
  • FDP7
  • CDU + Grüne68 of 120
  • CDU + AfD64 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD66 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + Linke65 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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