Infratest dimap poll of 26 February 2026 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 25 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,530
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne27.0%+4.0
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- SPD7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke5.5%-1.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jan 2026.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 1,530 people were surveyed from 23 to 25 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jan 2026, Grüne gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 5.0 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +5.0average 22.0
- SPD -3.0average 10.0
- AfD -2.0average 20.0
- Linke -1.5average 7.0
- CDU ±0average 28.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU37
- Grüne35
- AfD24
- SPD9
- FDP8
- Linke7
- CDU + Grüne72 of 120
- CDU + AfD61 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD68 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP67 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + Linke66 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.