Infratest dimap poll of 15 October 2026 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- State
- Baden-Württemberg
- Commissioned by
- SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung / Südwest Presse
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 13 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,191
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,191 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung / Südwest Presse.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Feb 2026, AfD gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 4.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 27.0
- AfD +3.0average 20.0
- Grüne +2.0average 28.0
- FDP -1.2average 5.2
- Linke +0.5average 5.5
- SPD -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne41
- AfD31
- CDU31
- SPD9
- Linke8
- Grüne + AfD72 of 120
- Grüne + CDU72 of 120
- AfD + CDU62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.